VfL Osnabrückvs
Hertha BSC
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hertha BSC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Osnabrück 1-3 Hertha BSC
Original prediction
Hertha BSC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 29.5% | 28.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.5% | 23.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.07 | 45.0% | 48.4% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Hertha BSC
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Hertha BSC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20