VfL Osnabrückvs
Dynamo Dresden
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Osnabrück · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Osnabrück 1-1 Dynamo Dresden
Original prediction
VfL Osnabrück
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 35.4% | 46.7% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.3% | 22.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.4% | 30.5% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
VfL Osnabrück
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
VfL Osnabrück has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60