GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Niedersachsen · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfL Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

VfL Oldenburg are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bornreihe are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and VfL Oldenburg hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Oberliga - Niedersachsen, while VfL Oldenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfL Oldenburg

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

VfL Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfL OldenburgLLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.75/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
BornreiheLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
VfL OldenburgBornreihe
56.6Attack35.4
41.4Defence22.2
45.5Form21.2
48.7Power29.2
3.04xG1.09
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