Vfl Bochumvs
VfL Wolfsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Wolfsburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vfl Bochum 1-1 VfL Wolfsburg
Original prediction
VfL Wolfsburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 29.0% | 24.1% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 24.2% | 23.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 46.9% | 52.9% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
VfL Wolfsburg
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
VfL Wolfsburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60