GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfl Bochum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vfl Bochum 0-1 VfL Osnabruck

Original prediction

Vfl Bochum

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7653.3%48.2%-5.1 pts
Draw3.7924.8%25.7%1.0 pts
Away4.3021.9%26.0%4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Vfl Bochum

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Vfl Bochum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfl BochumWWLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VfL OsnabruckWLLLW

GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vfl BochumVfL Osnabruck
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power20.5
1.85xG1.14
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