VfL Bochumvs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfL Bochum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Original prediction
VfL Bochum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 48.7% | 46.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.2% | 25.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
VfL Bochum
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
VfL Bochum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20