Vfl Bochumvs
Arminia Bielefeld
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vfl Bochum · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vfl Bochum 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld
Original prediction
Vfl Bochum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.8% | 42.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.7% | 26.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 32.5% | 31.3% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Vfl Bochum
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Vfl Bochum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40