VfB Stuttgartvs
Viking
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/9/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Viking
Original prediction
VfB Stuttgart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 75.5% | 41.7% | -33.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.50 | 14.6% | 22.3% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 9.59 | 9.9% | 36.0% | 26.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-33.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
VfB Stuttgart
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20