GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

VfB Stuttgart are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB StuttgartLWLWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Maccabi Tel AvivLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VfB StuttgartMaccabi Tel Aviv
55.6Attack75.0
58.3Defence66.7
50.0Form75.0
54.3Power69.7
1.45xG1.42
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