GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/12/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

VfB Stuttgart are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Porto are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

48.4%

Model confidence

48.4%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB StuttgartDWLDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC PortoDWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
VfB StuttgartFC Porto
55.6Attack53.3
58.3Defence50.0
50.0Form40.0
54.3Power49.6
1.82xG1.20
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