VfB Stuttgartvs
FC Heidenheim
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/25/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfB Stuttgart 3-0 FC Heidenheim
Original prediction
VfB Stuttgart
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 07:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 60.0% | 51.0% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 20.0% | 23.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 20.0% | 25.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
VfB Stuttgart
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00