VfB Stuttgartvs
Bayern München
COMPLETEDGermany · Super Cup · 8/16/2025, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
VfB Stuttgart are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayern München are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Super Cup, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VfB Stuttgart
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40