GGOALVIO

Germany · Super Cup · 8/16/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Stuttgart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

VfB Stuttgart are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bayern München are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Stuttgart hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Super Cup, while VfB Stuttgart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Stuttgart

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

VfB Stuttgart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB StuttgartLWWWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bayern MünchenWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VfB StuttgartBayern München
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power7.0
2.18xG1.36
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