GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/6/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

VfB Oldenburg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Kilia Kiel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Oldenburg hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while VfB Oldenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Oldenburg

Probability

84.3%

Model confidence

84.3%

VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB OldenburgLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kilia KielDLWLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
VfB OldenburgKilia Kiel
77.8Attack38.2
77.8Defence15.7
77.8Form19.6
77.5Power28.0
3.87xG0.86
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