VfB Oldenburgvs
Kickers Emden
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 5-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfB Oldenburg 4-0 Kickers Emden
Original prediction
VfB Oldenburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.1% | 58.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 19.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 23.1% | 22.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.5–27%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
VfB Oldenburg
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20