GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Oldenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (10%), 5-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

VfB Oldenburg 2-1 HSC Hannover

Original prediction

VfB Oldenburg

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7451.7%68.6%16.9 pts
Draw3.9322.9%16.0%-6.9 pts
Away3.5425.4%15.4%-10.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

16.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–110%
  2. 2.5–19%
  3. 3.3–19%

Predicted outcome

VfB Oldenburg

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

VfB Oldenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB OldenburgWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HSC HannoverDWWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VfB OldenburgHSC Hannover
100.0Attack47.2
48.5Defence27.8
66.7Form36.1
69.7Power38.6
4.50xG1.26
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