GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/7/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wolfhagen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WolfhagenLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgWolfhagen
50.0Attack48.1
66.7Defence38.9
66.7Form35.2
64.8Power41.6
2.29xG1.17
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