GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/21/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Weidenhausen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLWWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WeidenhausenWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgWeidenhausen
50.0Attack60.8
66.7Defence45.1
66.7Form49.0
64.8Power51.5
2.00xG1.52
View match centre →