GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 12/2/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

67.6%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWWDDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesWWWDL

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgWaldgirmes
50.0Attack47.1
66.7Defence25.5
66.7Form39.2
64.8Power39.6
2.80xG1.14
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