GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/29/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

67.6%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WaldgirmesDLWWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgWaldgirmes
50.0Attack47.1
66.7Defence25.5
66.7Form39.2
64.8Power39.6
2.80xG1.14
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