GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Waldgirmes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

67.6%

Model confidence

67.6%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDWLDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WaldgirmesLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vfb MarburgWaldgirmes
50.0Attack47.1
66.7Defence25.5
66.7Form39.2
64.8Power39.6
2.80xG1.14
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