GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/14/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TSV Steinbach II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 43.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 21.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

81.1%

Model confidence

81.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWDLLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TSV Steinbach IIWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgTSV Steinbach II
50.0Attack38.9
66.7Defence0.0
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power21.1
3.54xG0.89
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