GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/30/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SV Steinbach are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

65.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWLDDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SV SteinbachLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vfb MarburgSV Steinbach
50.0Attack45.1
66.7Defence32.4
66.7Form32.4
64.8Power39.0
2.56xG1.08
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