GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kassel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 37.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 27.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KasselWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgKassel
50.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence0.0
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power27.6
2.50xG1.20
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