GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/19/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hornau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HornauDLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgHornau
50.0Attack50.9
66.7Defence15.7
66.7Form25.9
64.8Power32.7
3.24xG1.20
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