GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/10/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hünfelder SVLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgHünfelder SV
50.0Attack75.0
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form75.0
64.8Power70.9
1.69xG1.66
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