GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/28/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hünfelder SV are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hünfelder SV hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hünfelder SVWDWLL

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgHünfelder SV
50.0Attack75.0
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form75.0
64.8Power70.9
1.69xG1.66
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