GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 6.50 conceded, while Hanau 93 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

65.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 2.50/6.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Hanau 93WLLLD

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb MarburgHanau 93
50.0Attack54.9
66.7Defence23.5
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power38.7
2.89xG1.32
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