GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FriedbergLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgFriedberg
50.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form77.8
64.8Power72.8
1.63xG1.54
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