Vfb Marburgvs
Fernwald
SCHEDULEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vfb Marburg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Oberliga - Hessen, favouring a draw with 11.4% confidence, a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.3%
Model confidence
11.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00