GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/29/2025, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWDDLW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FernwaldLDWWW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgFernwald
50.0Attack41.7
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form41.7
64.8Power48.8
1.81xG1.21
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