GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 10/6/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FernwaldDLWDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgFernwald
50.0Attack41.7
66.7Defence58.3
66.7Form41.7
64.8Power48.8
1.81xG1.21
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