GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/12/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLLW), averaging 1.75 scored and 4.50 conceded, while FC Gießen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLLW

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.75/4.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
FC GießenLWLWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgFC Gießen
50.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence33.3
66.7Form25.0
64.8Power39.1
2.25xG1.25
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