GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 4/20/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

69.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgFC 1906 Erlensee
50.0Attack41.2
66.7Defence30.4
66.7Form26.5
64.8Power34.5
2.67xG0.98
View match centre →