GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/26/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Dietkirchen are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DietkirchenDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgDietkirchen
50.0Attack48.0
66.7Defence16.7
66.7Form23.5
64.8Power32.0
3.22xG1.13
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