GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 12/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDLDDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauLDLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgBayern Alzenau
50.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence44.4
66.7Form22.2
64.8Power40.2
2.07xG1.23
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