GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bayern Alzenau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bayern AlzenauDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgBayern Alzenau
50.0Attack44.4
66.7Defence44.4
66.7Form22.2
64.8Power40.2
2.07xG1.23
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