GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/1/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BaunatalWWDDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vfb MarburgBaunatal
50.0Attack22.2
66.7Defence44.4
66.7Form11.1
64.8Power29.5
2.13xG1.09
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