GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/25/2024, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Baunatal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BaunatalWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb MarburgBaunatal
50.0Attack22.2
66.7Defence44.4
66.7Form11.1
64.8Power29.5
2.13xG1.09
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