GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 5/17/2025, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
1960 HanauLWWWD

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vfb Marburg1960 Hanau
50.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence25.0
66.7Form41.7
64.8Power51.6
2.29xG1.64
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