GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/23/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vfb Marburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Vfb Marburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while 1960 Hanau are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vfb Marburg hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Vfb Marburg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vfb Marburg

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Vfb Marburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vfb MarburgLWWWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
1960 HanauWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vfb Marburg1960 Hanau
50.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence25.0
66.7Form41.7
64.8Power51.6
2.29xG1.64
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