GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

VfB Lubeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

VfB Lübeck are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hamburger SV II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and VfB Lübeck hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (36.4 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while VfB Lübeck holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

VfB Lubeck

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

10.9%

VfB Lubeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VfB LubeckDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hamburger SV IIDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VfB LubeckHamburger SV II
22.2Attack66.7
55.6Defence0.0
22.2Form0.0
36.4Power23.7
1.83xG1.51
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