VfB Lübeckvs
Hamburger SV II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VfB Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
VfB Lübeck 1-3 Hamburger SV II
Original prediction
VfB Lübeck
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.3% | 44.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.5% | 24.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.2% | 31.3% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
VfB Lübeck
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
44.3%
VfB Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80