Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vestri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Vestri are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Völsungur are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vestri hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the 1. Deild, while Vestri holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vestri
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
8.6%
Vestri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20