Vestrivs
Throttur Reykjavik
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Throttur Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vestri 0-2 Throttur Reykjavik
Original prediction
Throttur Reykjavik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.9% | 18.1% | -15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 17.2% | -7.5 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.3% | 64.8% | 23.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Throttur Reykjavik
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Throttur Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80