UEFA Europa League
Vestri
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Qarabag leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Vestri head into this in UEFA Europa League fixture at Throttarvollur in mixed form (L), while Qarabag arrive in mixed form (L). Vestri have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Qarabag over 1 games.
The model rates Vestri's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Qarabag defence, and Qarabag's attack at 9/100 against a 0/100 Vestri backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Vestri have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per home match. Qarabag have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.
Vestri have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Qarabag have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Qarabag have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Qarabag to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Vestri 1656%, Draw 2203%, Qarabag 6142%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Vestri
Qarabag
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vestri vs Qarabag?
GoalVio's model predicts Qarabag to win with 61% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Vestri vs Qarabag?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.
Will both teams score in Vestri vs Qarabag?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vestri vs Qarabag?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.