Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vestri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Vestri are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ægir are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vestri hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 24.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the 1. Deild, while Vestri holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vestri
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Vestri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60