GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 6/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Vestri are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Afturelding are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VestriWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AftureldingLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VestriAfturelding
51.9Attack100.0
31.5Defence43.1
44.4Form68.6
44.5Power68.0
1.82xG3.63
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