Versaillesvs
Valenciennes
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Versailles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Versailles 1-0 Valenciennes
Original prediction
Versailles
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.8% | 43.7% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 28.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.2% | 28.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Versailles
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Versailles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40