GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 9/19/2026, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Versailles · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Versailles 0-0 Quevilly

Original prediction

Versailles

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8249.7%45.4%-4.3 pts
Draw3.3527.0%26.1%-0.8 pts
Away3.8623.4%28.5%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Versailles

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Versailles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VersaillesWLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
QuevillyWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VersaillesQuevilly
55.6Attack33.3
38.9Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
48.7Power47.3
1.49xG1.13
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