Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Verona · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hellas Verona are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ascoli are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and hellas Verona hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Serie B, favouring Hellas Verona with 15.9% confidence, a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Verona
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
15.9%
Verona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60